Q2 2025 SUPPLY CHAIN MARKET INSIGHTS
A Look at the Transportation & Logistics Industry
The supply chain and transportation sectors are grappling with immense complexities from shifting regulations to rapid technological changes and many things in between. For many, keeping pace with evolving trends, new compliance regulations, and the latest in digital tools can feel overwhelming. We created this report to help logistics professionals cut through the confusion.
In this report, you will find an in-depth look at the forces shaping the market right now. We examine the latest developments in automation, sustainability, global trade, warehousing, and more from leaders in the industry. Whether you’re navigating regulatory changes, evaluating new technologies, or responding to global events, this report is designed to be your guide through the challenges and opportunities ahead.
As of June 2025, the FTL and LTL logistics markets are entering Q3 with cautious optimism, driven by strong e-commerce demand, digital transformation, and increasing sustainability efforts. FTL carriers are investing in technologies like GPS tracking and automated freight matching to improve efficiency, while also exploring alternative fuels and electric vehicles. The market is also being shaped by nearshoring trends and a growing emphasis on environmental responsibility, offering new opportunities for carriers that can adapt quickly.
In the LTL sector, technological adoption and automation are accelerating, with AI tools enhancing route optimization and cost efficiency. The upcoming July 2025 freight classification changes by the NMFTA are a major regulatory shift that will affect over 40% of LTL shipments, demanding operational adjustments from shippers and carriers alike. Industry consolidation, highlighted by FedEx Freight’s planned spin-off, is also reshaping the competitive landscape.
“While rate increases and capacity tightness remain concerns, carriers that embrace innovation, optimize pricing strategies, and strengthen customer relationships are well-positioned to gain market share in the evolving logistics environment.”
-- Matt Thomas, Mariner Chief Revenue Officer
Following the announcement of the 90-day tariff reprieve, freight rates tracked by Drewry have surged. Within just one week, rates to the U.S. West Coast increased by 31%, while East Coast rates rose by 22%, as shippers rush to move cargo during the temporary window.
In May alone, 40% of sailings were blanked due to low demand. Now, with a sharp uptick in volumes, carriers are facing the challenge of replenishing capacity—an effort expected to take more than a month—while also contending with equipment shortages.
It has been over 17 months since the crisis in the Red Sea began. Recently, President Trump stated that Yemen's Houthi rebels have agreed to halt attacks on commercial shipping, with Washington suspending its military strikes as negotiations continue. In response, Egypt’s Suez Canal Authority has introduced a 15% discount on transit fees in an effort to attract containerships back to the route and stimulate trade.
While some view this as a sign the shipping crisis may be nearing its end, tensions remain high. The Houthis have continued to launch missile attacks toward Israel, and many ocean carriers are still opting for alternative routes due to ongoing security concerns.
Lars Jensen of Vespucci Maritime, a container shipping advisory firm, noted that carrier decisions will be driven by risk assessments. He added that the 15% discount is unlikely to significantly influence whether or not ships resume transit through the Red Sea under the current conditions. Most carriers are not expected to quickly return to normal operations in the region given the prevailing risks. Additionally, The JointWar Committee in London would need to downgrade the treat for the Red Sea region, and war risk insurance ratings to be removed.
The Trump administration's recent tariffs have significantly impacted the trajectory of warehoused goods. Importers are increasingly converting warehouses into bonded facilities to delay duty payments, a strategy that has led to a surge in demand for such spaces and a corresponding rise in rental costs. (Source UnicargoReuters)
Uneven Adoption of Warehouse Robotics Across America
Despite the advantages of warehouse automation, not all regions in the United States have embraced these technologies uniformly. Areas with substantial capital and infrastructure are more likely to invest in automation, while others, particularly those with economic constraints or a reliance on traditional labor markets, exhibit slower adoption rates. This disparity highlights the challenges in achieving nationwide modernization of warehouse operations.
“The uncertainty surrounding trade policies has prompted businesses to stockpile inventory, leading to increased warehouse occupancy and higher operational costs.
These developments underscore the need for adaptable warehousing solutions in a fluctuating trade environment.”-- Scott Fleener, Mariner Chief Supply Chain Officer
Mariner is a global 4PL provider leading with technology integration to connect shippers to their entire global supply chain. We manage the design, build, execution and measurement of a shipper’s end-to-end global logistics network, working with the shipper to coordinate logistics operations via internal and/or external parties.
By working as a true partner, Mariner helps drive growth and value by leveraging logistics expertise, buying power, and cutting-edge technology with transparency at every step.